encouraging
Dec. 22nd, 2023 05:26 amvia https://ift.tt/XjsvHcm
Last night I got very mildly high (a really great thing about being middle-aged in this new era of legal weed is that it’s really easy to get very consistent and reliable gummies with very consistent and reliable doses of THC so you can get yourself very mildly stoned, not enough to freak out or like lose time or anything, just enough to be Altered and take a little mini-vacation from your own brainweasels, and wake up refreshed the next day instead of hung-over) and scrolled Tumblr until I saw that post about multi-vortex “dead man walking” tornadoes again, and that got me to go search up the one they mentioned by name and then go into a wikipedia spiral about destructive multi-vortex tornadoes. (The post, shockingly, isn’t totally accurate, but isn’t like. wrong-wrong. For the record though the dead man walking bit of the tornado wasn’t as deadly as the just wall-of-black that came later.)
And actually while it was terrifying to see what kind of destruction the weather can wreak, it was kind of… encouraging. Reading the accounts of historical storms and more recent ones, there’s this throughline of learning, of new regulations and guidelines, of science being done. The old historic tornadoes, not only were the casualties high, but the aftermath horrible, people missing, fires wiping out survivors, local economies irrevocably destroyed. The newer tornadoes, often the weather itself was more severe, but there are fewer and fewer casualties, better warnings and advice from meteorologists, better government response. I didn’t track any of my sources on this and I’ve closed the window so I’d stop reading about it, but I read with interest about how in 1991 a news team sheltered under an overpass during a scary but relatively weak tornado, and broadcast footage of this, and then in a much stronger early-2000s tornado, a number of people were killed sheltering under highway overpasses, and then by the 2010s the advice to avoid highway overpasses had become common knowledge, and people are no longer being killed this way. (Also I finally had my question answered, having been on the Thruway during a tornado warning: why not shelter under an overpass? Well! Because of fluid dynamics. Just as water pressure intensifies when going through a sudden narrowing in a pipe, so too does wind going through a narrower space, so if you’re hiding in that narrow space you are gonna get sucked out of it. So if you find yourself out in the open, do not shelter under a bridge or overpass! Shelter instead in a ditch if you can find one, or a hollow in the ground, something open to the sky so the wind will not intensify passing through it. Now You Know. ok fine I reopened the tab to cite this: NOAA’s page on this topic https://web.archive.org/web/20120107153850/http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ddc/?n=over)
Another one was a storm in the 20s where several of the casualties were farmers out in their fields, taken unawares. Normally farmers are weather-savvy, the article said, and would know to shelter from storms, but this tornado had an unusual appearance, and took them by surprise. Contrast that to later storms, where mobile radars were deployed, where meterologists and broadcasters had protocols already in place, where local inhabitants knew to listen and knew how to respond– there are still instances of bad advice, like an Oklahoma TV weatherman telling people to get in their cars and evacuate which led to gridlock on the local highway which would have resulted in hundreds of casualties save for the tornado missing that area, but mostly people know now what to do. The casualties are much sparser, and many of them now are, instead of people making fatal mistakes, instead people doing the right thing but the storm just being too powerful. (No less tragic, but I suppose it’s slightly less heartbreaking to know it was just bad luck and not also poor information.)
And you see examples like in 2011 the 12 oil rig workers https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_El_Reno%E2%80%93Piedmont_tornado#Interstate_40%E2%80%93El_Reno, who sheltered in the change house, which due to new information about tornadoes had been built with tie-downs, which nearly failed but did not and all twelve souls were spared, and the company improved construction of future change houses as tornado shelters based on this information.
Anyway, it was a weird thing to fixate on for the evening but in the end it did leave me with a feeling of hopefulness. Like, this is a thing where science and good government actually can concretely improve outcomes.
Let’s not extend our worry into climate change making all this worse, just yet, and leave it at this.
LOL this is so poorly cited I’m turning reblogs off, and hopefully I’m done obsessing about tornadoes for a lil bit now. Well, we’ll see if that resolution sticks, I reopened tabs to put in at least minimal citations here and haven’t closed them yet. (Your picture was not posted)